Picture Post Week: Increased Standards & Student Needs, But Shrinking Resources!


As I explain in a post a while back:

In short, the “cost” of education rises as a function of at least 3 major factors:

  1. Changes in the incoming student populations over time
  2. Changes in the desired outcomes for those students, including more rigorous core content area goals or increased breadth of outcome goals
  3. Changes in the competitive wage of the desired quality of school personnel

And the interaction of all three of these! For example, changing student populations making teaching more difficult (a working condition), meaning that a higher wage might be required to simply offset this change. Increasing the complexity of outcome goals might require a more skilled teaching workforce, requiring higher wages.

So how well have we been addressing the increased costs associated with both our increasingly needy student populations, and our desire for higher outcome standards?

Slide1

Slide2

Not so well I guess!

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1 Comment

  1. This is an important “macro” way of looking at the prioritization of education relative to other areas of investment over time. Of course, you often point out that averages conceal variation. For example, some states routinely invest in education more aggressively than others. Have a look at the (open data) EdSource States In Motion series for additional insights, particularly state-level differences in this investment pattern. Chart 6 is the most directly relevant: http://edsource.org/2015/states-in-motion-school-finance-naep-child-poverty/83303#6

    The States In Motion series includes data back to 1970, which shows the downward trend even more clearly. Prop 13 crushed relative per capita expenditures on education in California, and the state has never recovered.

    Two small caveats: 1) a portion of the downward drift can appropriately be attributed to the happy fact that people are living longer, and also that families have shrunk. There are slightly more taxpayers per student than there were in the past. 2) I have mixed feelings about using the Taylor education labor cost series (or similar). The rising costs of education are important, and they are an issue worthy of separate consideration. See Ed100 lesson 8.2. http://ed100.org/support/eddollars/ Why separate them? Because the elements driving costs represent both market conditions and policy choices. For example the traditional villain in the “fast-rising costs” story is teacher pay… but that story doesn’t seem to wash, since growth in teacher salaries has actually merely kept pace with median wage growth. See Ed100 lesson 3.1 http://ed100.org/teachers/talent/.

    It is my impression that expenditures on health care and financial services have risen as a percentage of the economic pie, squeezing education (and especially universal K12). It would be interesting to see a presentation of long-term data about the evolution of the “pie”. Maybe you know of one?

    I also wonder about international differences in expenditures on education as a percentage of the economy (as measured by personal income). This seems like an important lens: some cultures (e.g. Finland, Cuba, Korea, the Singapore region) are often held up as examples of places that have a culture of strong investment in education. Inconsistency in the structure of education finance make these comparisons difficult, I think — for example Japan and Korea have flourishing private tutoring industries that America does not. Perhaps you have some insights.

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